Triad Guaranty Inc. Reports Third Quarter Results

Mon Nov 10, 4:30 PM

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., Nov. 10 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (Nasdaq: TGIC) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended September 30, 2008 of $160.1 million compared with a net loss of $198.8 million for the second quarter of 2008 and a net loss of $31.8 million in the third quarter of 2007. The 2008 third quarter loss per share was $10.69 compared to a net loss per share of $13.36 for the 2008 second quarter and $2.15 for the third quarter of 2007.

The net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $508.9 million compared to a net loss of $2.5 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007. The loss per share was $34.14 for the first nine months of 2008 compared to a loss per share of $0.17 for the same period last year.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, "Our focus is now strictly on the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly around loss mitigation. We continue to improve our processes in this area by examining and refining all aspects of our default management and claims process, including enhancing our processes for investigating potential misrepresentation and fraud in the mortgage commitment process. The amount of risk in default or in the foreclosure process continues to increase and, as a result, our loss reserves increased significantly again in the third quarter. The distressed markets of California, Florida, Arizona and Nevada continue to be adversely impacted by declining home prices, and reserves for defaults in these states comprised approximately 65% of the increase in our gross reserves for the quarter."

Mr. Jones noted, "We continue to work closely with our primary regulator, the Illinois Division of Insurance, as well as with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. We have obtained the approval of our run-off plan from the Illinois insurance regulators and have reviewed it with the GSEs. Due to the continued increase in defaults and the related provision for expected future paid losses, we are now reporting a deficiency in assets at September 30, 2008. Since much of the decline in stockholders' equity during 2008 is from increases in our reserve for losses, cash and invested assets have actually increased during 2008, with positive cash flow from operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 amounting to $151 million."

"Our underlying performance during the quarter was generally consistent with our run-off plan, as the plan projected significant losses in the early stages of the run-off period. Additionally, we have not realized a significant portion of the structured benefits on the modified pool stop losses and captive reinsurance benefits that we anticipate in the subsequent years of the run-off. Finally, it should be noted that no benefit has been recognized in these financial statements from our $95 million excess of loss reinsurance policy that is presently in arbitration."

Triad is no longer issuing commitments for new mortgage insurance; therefore, production during the third quarter was insignificant. Total insurance in force amounted to $64.3 billion at September 30, 2008, a 3.0% decline from June 30, 2008 and a 5.4% decline since last year. The primary reason for the lack of any significant decline in our insurance in force is high persistency rates as reduced credit availability and declining home prices limit the opportunities for borrowers to refinance existing mortgages.

Net losses and loss adjustment expenses amounted to $231.2 million for the third quarter of 2008, compared to $292.7 million for the second quarter of 2008. Paid losses for the 2008 third quarter totaled $59.8 million compared to $68.2 million for the second quarter of this year, with the decline from the second quarter reflecting increased loss mitigation efforts, servicer delays in filing claims, and foreclosure moratoriums. The increase in reserves of $166.0 million in the third quarter of 2008 was less than the increase in reserves of $218.6 million during the second quarter of this year. The 2008 second quarter growth in reserves included an increase in both the frequency and severity factors utilized in the reserve model that added approximately $59 million, while no such changes in either the frequency or severity factors were made during the third quarter.

Operating expenses were down significantly compared to the second quarter of 2008, which included accruals for severance and other exit costs of approximately $12 million. The third quarter results reflect the downsizing of Triad's workforce as well as other operating efficiencies. During the third quarter of 2008, pre-tax investment losses included other-than-temporary impairments of investments of $9.6 million, which was largely attributable to adverse events in the overall capital markets during the quarter. The effective tax rate for both the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2008 reflects the inability to recognize the full tax benefit on the pre-tax loss as the Company expects to be in a net operating loss carry forward position for the foreseeable future.

We have updated the supplemental information for the 2008 third quarter results related to product differentiation, risk structures, additional portfolio characteristics and performance on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com. The supplemental information can be found under "Investors" and then under "Webcasts and Presentations" by the title "Supplemental Information - Third Quarter 2008".

(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a voluntary run-off of its existing in-force book of business. For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including our ability to complete the run-off of our existing in-force book of business, the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated, legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments, the appointment of FHFA as the conservator of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, our ability to satisfy the continued listing requirements of the NASDAQ stock market, changes in interest rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market, as well as the factors described under "Risk Factors" and under "Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2007 and in other reports and statements that we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made.



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
                     Consolidated Statement of Operations
                                 (Unaudited)

                                     Three Months Ended   Nine Months Ended
                                        September 30,       September 30,
                                       2008      2007      2008      2007

                                      (Dollars in thousands except per share
                                                     amounts)

    Earned premiums                  $65,654   $72,090   $207,583  $205,770
    Net investment income             10,349     8,370     29,071    23,392
    Net realized investment
     (losses) gains                   (6,519)       85     (7,615)   (3,020)
    Other income                           2         2          6         6
      Total revenues                  69,486    80,547    229,045   226,148

      Net paid claims                 59,357    28,471    167,708    64,272
      Change in reserves             165,958    76,612    559,469   113,888
      Loss adjustment expenses         5,879     1,730     18,025     3,127
    Net losses and loss adjustment
     expenses                        231,194   106,813    745,202   181,287
    Interest expense on debt             691     1,161      2,863     2,548
    Policy acquisition costs               -     4,567     39,416    13,860
    Other operating expenses - net     8,726    11,686     50,070    32,733
    Loss before income taxes        (171,125)  (43,680)  (608,506)   (4,280)

    Income tax benefit               (11,030)  (11,831)   (99,586)   (1,780)

    Net loss                       $(160,095) $(31,849) $(508,920)  $(2,500)

    Diluted loss per share           $(10.69)   $(2.15)   $(34.14)   $(0.17)

    Diluted weighted average
     common and common stock
     equivalents outstanding
     (in thousands)                   14,973    14,838     14,907    14,936



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
                          Consolidated Balance Sheet

                                   (Unaudited)                (Unaudited)
                                      Sep 30,       Dec 31,      Sep 30,
                                       2008          2007         2007

                                    (Dollars in thousands except per share
                                                   amounts)
    Assets:
      Invested assets:
         Fixed maturities,
          available for sale, at
          market                     $862,486      $725,631      $711,918
         Equity securities,
          available for sale, at
          market                          615         2,162         3,483
         Short-term investments        27,619        56,746        78,972
                                      890,720       784,539       794,373

      Cash and cash equivalents        47,818       124,811        30,617
      Deferred policy acquisition
       costs                                -        36,243        35,574
      Prepaid federal income tax           15       116,008       168,817
      Reinsurance recoverable         111,827         5,815             2
      Other assets                     51,576        65,437        67,290

           Total assets            $1,101,956    $1,132,853    $1,096,673

    Liabilities:
      Losses and loss adjustment
       expenses                    $1,042,053      $359,939      $200,455
      Unearned premiums                16,870        17,793        15,980
      Revolving line of credit              -        80,000        80,000
      Deferred income tax              22,889       123,297       170,477
      Long-term debt                   34,527        34,519        34,517
      Other liabilities                14,017        18,454        23,774

          Total liabilities         1,130,356       634,002       525,203

    Stockholders' equity:
      Retained earnings
       (accumulated deficit)         (133,302)      375,618       450,576
      Accumulated other
       comprehensive (loss)
       income                          (7,914)       13,405        12,091
      Other equity accounts           112,816       109,828       108,803

         Total stockholders' equity
          (deficiency in assets)      (28,400)      498,851       571,470

    Total liabilities and
     stockholders' equity          $1,101,956    $1,132,853    $1,096,673


    Stockholders' equity
     (deficiency in assets) per
     share:                            $(1.88)       $33.43        $38.30

    Common shares outstanding      15,116,259    14,920,243    14,920,269



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
                     Consolidated Statement of Cash Flow
                                 (Unaudited)

                                                       Nine Months Ended
                                                         September 30,
                                                    2008                2007
                                                     (Dollars in Thousands)

    OPERATING ACTIVITIES
    Net loss                                      $(508,920)          $(2,500)
    Adjustments to reconcile net loss to
     net cash provided by operating activities:
       Increase in loss and unearned
        premium reserves                            681,191           118,890
       Decrease (increase) in amounts due
        to/from reinsurer                          (111,419)              464
       Net realized investment losses                 7,615             3,020
       Policy acquisition costs deferred             (3,173)          (14,291)
       Amortization of policy acquisition
        costs                                        39,416            13,860
       Decrease in deferred income taxes            (94,991)           (3,248)
       Redemption (purchases) of Tax and
        Loss Bonds                                  115,993            (1,909)
       Other operating activities                    24,926            (5,126)

    Net cash provided by operating
     activities                                     150,638           109,160

    INVESTING ACTIVITIES
       Purchases of investment securities          (782,316)         (238,049)
       Sales and maturities of investment
        securities                                  612,418           113,239
       Decrease (increase) in short-term
        investments                                  26,692           (73,671)
       Other investing activities                    (1,348)           (4,636)

    Net cash used in investing activities          (144,554)         (203,117)

    FINANCING ACTIVITIES
       Borrowings (repayments) on credit
        facility                                    (80,000)           80,000
       Excess tax benefits related to share
        based compensation                              -                 175
       Proceeds from exercise of stock options          -                 616

    Net cash provided by (used in) financing
     activities                                     (80,000)           80,791

    Foreign currency translation adjustment          (3,077)            5,174

    Net decrease in cash                            (76,993)           (7,992)
    Cash at beginning of period                     124,811            38,609

    Cash at end of period                           $47,818           $30,617



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
                 Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information
                                 (Unaudited)

                                             Sep 30,     Jun 30,     Mar 31,
                                              2008        2008        2008
                                                  (Dollars in millions
                                               unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force

    Primary insurance in force:
        - Flow business                      $40,451     $41,645     $42,086
        - Structured bulk transactions         4,065       4,248       4,374
            Total Primary insurance in
             force                            44,516      45,894      46,459
    Modified Pool insurance in force          19,823      20,439      21,187
            Total insurance in force         $64,339     $66,333     $67,646

    Number of insured loans:
        - Primary                            259,556     267,689     272,289
        - Modified Pool                       95,089      97,960     101,723
            Total number of insured loans    354,645     365,649     374,012

    Primary net risk in force:
       - Flow business                        $9,234      $9,524      $9,671
       - Structured bulk business              1,358       1,425       1,470
            Total Primary net risk in
             force                           $10,592     $10,949     $11,141

    Modified Pool risk in force net of
     stop loss                                  $853        $875        $903
       Deductibles on modified pool risk         $95        $103        $108

    Primary flow insurance in force
     subject to captive reinsurance
     arrangements                               57.6%       57.9%       58.8%

    Primary annual persistency rate             85.8%       85.1%       83.3%



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
                 Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information
                                 (Unaudited)

                                             Dec 31,     Sep 30,     Jun 30,
                                              2007        2007        2007
                                                 (Dollars in millions
                                              unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force

    Primary insurance in force:
        - Flow business                      $41,840     $40,610     $38,590
        - Structured bulk transactions         4,525       4,700       4,133
            Total Primary insurance in
             force                            46,365      45,310      42,724
    Modified Pool insurance in force          21,863      22,737      23,649
            Total insurance in force         $68,228     $68,047     $66,373

    Number of insured loans:
        - Primary                            273,798     269,681     258,163
        - Modified Pool                      105,109     109,133     113,725
            Total number of insured loans    378,907     378,814     371,888

    Primary net risk in force:
       - Flow business                        $9,642      $9,350      $8,866
       - Structured bulk business              1,525       1,583       1,373
            Total Primary net risk in
             force                           $11,166     $10,933     $10,239

    Modified Pool risk in force net of
     stop loss                                  $913        $922        $935
       Deductibles on modified pool risk        $112        $115        $117

    Primary flow insurance in force
     subject to captive reinsurance
     arrangements                               59.0%       58.0%       56.8%

    Primary annual persistency rate             81.4%       79.1%       77.7%



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
                 Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information
                                 (Unaudited)

                                             Mar 31,     Dec 31,     Sep 30,
                                              2007        2006        2006
                                                  (Dollars in millions
                                               unless otherwise indicated)
    Insurance In Force

    Primary insurance in force:
        - Flow business                      $35,366     $32,779     $31,012
        - Structured bulk transactions         2,616       1,330       1,094
            Total Primary insurance in
             force                            37,982      34,109      32,106
    Modified Pool insurance in force          23,507      22,719      21,779
            Total insurance in force         $61,489     $56,828     $53,885

    Number of insured loans:
        - Primary                            239,326     225,531     219,287
        - Modified Pool                      114,711     112,555     110,650
            Total number of insured loans    354,037     338,086     329,937

    Primary net risk in force:
       - Flow business                        $8,094      $7,447      $7,016
       - Structured bulk business                843         377         305
            Total Primary net risk in
             force                            $8,937      $7,824      $7,321

    Modified Pool risk in force net of
     stop loss                                  $933        $890        $837
       Deductibles on modified pool risk        $114        $101         $94

    Primary flow insurance in force
     subject to captive reinsurance
     arrangements                               57.9%       61.0%       63.0%

    Primary annual persistency rate             77.0%       76.6%       75.3%



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
            Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information (con't.)
                                 (Unaudited)

                                              Sep 30,     Jun 30,     Mar 31,
                                               2008        2008        2008
                                                   (Dollars in millions
                                                unless otherwise indicated)
    Delinquencies and Claim Information

    Total Primary delinquent loans             19,441      16,075      13,322
       - Flow business                         16,456      13,710      11,576
       - Bulk business                          2,985       2,365       1,746

    Total Modified Pool delinquent loans       12,664      10,526       8,594
       - Structured with deductibles (3)        7,278       6,221       5,128
       - Structured without deductibles         5,386       4,305       3,466

    Total Primary delinquency rate               7.49%       6.01%       4.89%

    Modified Pool delinquency rate              13.32%      10.75%       8.45%

    Primary average paid severity
     ($ thousands)                              $51.3       $52.4       $42.6
       - Flow business                          $49.4       $49.3       $41.4
       - Bulk business                          $77.5       $90.8       $68.3

    Primary net paid claims ($ thousands)     $48,766     $48,071     $29,209
       - Flow business                        $43,727     $41,805     $27,091
       - Bulk business                         $5,040      $6,266      $2,119

    Modified Pool average paid severity
     ($ thousands)                              $71.7       $55.6       $65.0

    Modified Pool net paid claims
     ($ thousands)                            $10,755     $20,192     $10,852

    Gross Case Reserves as percent of risk
     in default (4)                              45.4%       45.0%       40.5%

    Financial Information (5)

    Loss ratio - GAAP                           352.1%      419.0%      307.0%
    Expense ratio - GAAP                         13.6%       39.4%       25.5%
    Combined ratio - GAAP                       365.7%      458.4%      332.5%

    Risk-to-capital ratio                      39.7:1      42.7:1      27.7:1



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
            Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information (con't.)
                                 (Unaudited)

                                             Dec 31,     Sep 30,     Jun 30,
                                              2007        2007        2007
                                                  (Dollars in millions
                                               unless otherwise indicated)

    Delinquencies and Claim Information

    Total Primary delinquent loans            10,419       7,541       5,940
       - Flow business                         9,166       6,807       5,504
       - Bulk business                         1,253         734         436

    Total Modified Pool delinquent loans       6,402       4,826       3,913
       - Structured with deductibles (3)       4,072       3,104       2,508
       - Structured without deductibles        2,330       1,722       1,405

    Total Primary delinquency rate              3.81%       2.80%       2.30%

    Modified Pool delinquency rate              6.09%       4.42%       3.44%

    Primary average paid severity
     ($ thousands)                             $41.6       $36.9       $30.9
       - Flow business                         $40.9       $36.9       $30.9
       - Bulk business                         $63.9       $35.9       $30.1

    Primary net paid claims ($ thousands)    $27,012     $23,058     $16,687
       - Flow business                       $25,798     $22,090     $15,965
       - Bulk business                        $1,214        $968        $722

    Modified Pool average paid severity
     ($ thousands)                             $57.9       $41.3       $26.6

    Modified Pool net paid claims
     ($ thousands)                            $9,328      $5,413      $1,386

    Gross Case Reserves as percent of
     risk in default (4)                        36.6%       32.1%       26.9%

    Financial Information (5)

    Loss ratio - GAAP                          262.1%      148.2%       60.1%
    Expense ratio - GAAP                        20.8%       22.4%       21.9%
    Combined ratio - GAAP                      282.9%      170.6%       82.0%

    Risk-to-capital ratio                     20.5:1      17.8:1      16.0:1



                             Triad Guaranty Inc.
            Sequential Quarterly Statistical Information (con't.)
                                 (Unaudited)

                                              Mar 31,     Dec 31,     Sep 30,
                                               2007        2006        2006
                                                   (Dollars in millions
                                                unless otherwise indicated)

    Delinquencies and Claim Information

    Total Primary delinquent loans             5,632       5,565       5,201
       - Flow business                         5,335       5,265       4,892
       - Bulk business                           297         300         309

    Total Modified Pool delinquent loans       3,366       3,001       2,387
       - Structured with deductibles (3)       2,176       1,897       1,578
       - Structured without deductibles        1,190       1,104         809

    Total Primary delinquency rate              2.35%       2.47%       2.37%

    Modified Pool delinquency rate              2.93%       2.67%       2.16%

    Primary average paid severity
     ($ thousands)                             $31.3       $28.1       $25.7
       - Flow business                         $31.1       $27.9       $25.0
       - Bulk business                         $34.0       $29.8       $37.6

    Primary net paid claims ($ thousands)    $16,447     $15,100     $13,016
       - Flow business                       $15,122     $13,880     $11,887
       - Bulk business                        $1,325      $1,220      $1,129

    Modified Pool average paid severity
     ($ thousands)                             $23.7       $26.2       $18.8

    Modified Pool net paid claims
     ($ thousands)                            $1,281      $1,493        $603

    Gross Case Reserves as percent of
     risk in default (4)                        27.3%       27.0%       22.9%

    Financial Information (5)

    Loss ratio - GAAP                           50.9%       70.9%       35.7%
    Expense ratio - GAAP                        22.8%       22.8%       24.8%
    Combined ratio - GAAP                       73.7%       93.7%       60.5%

    Risk-to-capital ratio                     13.8:1      12.5:1      12.0:1


    (3) We record reserves in our financial statements for defaults on
        contracts where the incurred losses have exceeded the amount of the
        deductible.
    (4) Reflects gross case reserves, which excludes IBNR and ceded
        reserves, as a percent of risk in default for total primary delinquent
        loans and total modified pool delinquent loans. Previous numbers have
        been restated to conform to current presentation.
    (5) The Loss & Expense Ratios do not reflect any impact from
        establishment of Premium Deficiency Reserve.



                             TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                  Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
                                 (unaudited)

           Condensed Statements of Operations For The Quarter Ended
                            (dollars in thousands)

                                             Sep 30,     Jun 30,     Mar 31,
                                              2008        2008        2008
    Revenue:
       Earned premiums                       $65,654     $69,864     $72,065
       Net investment income                  10,349       9,175       9,547
       Realized investment gains (losses)     (6,519)     (3,799)      2,703
       Other income (loss)                         2           2           2
         Total revenues                       69,486      75,242      84,317
    Losses and expenses:
          Net paid claims                     59,357      68,263      40,088
          Change in reserves                 165,958     218,568     174,944
          Loss adjustment expenses             5,879       5,918       6,227
       Net losses and LAE                    231,194     292,749     221,259
       Change in premium deficiency
        reserve                                    -     (15,000)     15,000
       Interest expense on debt                  691         696       1,476
       Amortization of DAC                         -           -      39,416
       Other operating expenses                8,726      27,238      14,106
         Total losses and expenses           240,611     305,683     291,257
    Income (loss) before income taxes       (171,125)   (230,441)   (206,940)
       Income taxes (benefit)                (11,030)    (31,630)    (56,926)
    Net income (loss)                      $(160,095)  $(198,811)  $(150,014)



                             TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                  Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
                                 (unaudited)

           Condensed Statements of Operations For The Quarter Ended
                            (dollars in thousands)

                                             Dec 31,      Sep 30,     Jun 30,
                                              2007         2007         2007
    Revenue:
       Earned premiums                       $73,130      $72,090     $69,732
       Net investment income                   9,544        8,370       7,673
       Realized investment gains (losses)        (29)          85      (3,867)
       Other income (loss)                         2            2           2
         Total revenues                       82,647       80,547      73,540
    Losses and expenses:
          Net paid claims                     36,341       28,471      18,073
          Change in reserves                 150,687       76,612      23,052
          Loss adjustment expenses             4,624        1,730         768
       Net losses and LAE                    191,652      106,813      41,893
       Change in premium deficiency
        reserve                                    -            -           -
       Interest expense on debt                1,828        1,161         694
       Amortization of DAC                     4,637        4,567       4,670
       Other operating expenses               10,895       11,686      10,716
         Total losses and expenses           209,012      124,227      57,973
    Income (loss) before income taxes       (126,365)     (43,680)     15,567
       Income taxes (benefit)                (51,406)     (11,831)      3,541
    Net income (loss)                       $(74,959)    $(31,849)    $12,026



                             TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                  Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
                                 (unaudited)

           Condensed Statements of Operations For The Quarter Ended
                            (dollars in thousands)

                                             Mar 31,     Dec 31,     Sep 30,
                                              2007        2006        2006
    Revenue:
        Earned premiums                      $63,949     $58,222     $54,077
        Net investment income                  7,349       7,178       6,761
        Realized investment gains (losses)       761         (52)        (36)
        Other income (loss)                        2           2           3
          Total revenues                      72,061      65,350      60,805
    Losses and expenses:
           Net paid claims                    17,728      16,593      13,619
           Change in reserves                 14,224      23,325       5,219
           Loss adjustment expenses              629       1,382         467
        Net losses and LAE                    32,581      41,300      19,305
        Change in premium deficiency
         reserve                                   -           -           -
        Interest expense on debt                 694         694         693
        Amortization of DAC                    4,624       4,179       4,109
        Other operating expenses              10,330       9,268       9,279
          Total losses and expenses           48,229      55,441      33,386
    Income (loss) before income taxes         23,832       9,909      27,419
        Income taxes (benefit)                 6,510       1,806       8,027
    Net income (loss)                        $17,322      $8,103     $19,392



                        Condensed Balance Sheets As Of
                            (dollars in thousands)

                                             Sep 30,      Jun 30,     Mar 31,
                                              2008         2008        2008
    Assets
       Invested assets                       $890,720    $869,022    $760,073
       Cash                                    47,818      19,669      80,544
       Real estate acquired                     3,661       6,202       8,993
       Deferred policy acquisition costs            -           -           -
       Prepaid federal income tax                  15      63,184     115,598
       Reinsurance recoverable                111,827      55,316      93,244
       Other assets                            47,915      50,405      52,572
       Total assets                        $1,101,956  $1,063,798  $1,111,024

    Liabilities and stockholders' equity
       Liabilities:
             Losses and loss adjustment
              expenses                     $1,042,053    $817,262    $547,766
             Premium deficiency reserve             -           -      96,073
             Deferred income taxes             22,889      30,386      61,522
             Borrowing under credit
              facility                              -           -           -
             Long term debt                    34,527      34,527      34,522
             Accrued expenses and other
              liabilities                      30,887      40,714      32,699
       Total liabilities                    1,130,356     922,889     772,582
       Total stockholders' equity
        (deficiency in assets)                (28,400)    140,909     338,442
       Total liabilities and stockholders'
        equity                             $1,101,956  $1,063,798  $1,111,024



                        Condensed Balance Sheets As Of
                            (dollars in thousands)

                                             Dec 31,      Sep 30,     Jun 30,
                                              2007         2007        2007
    Assets
       Invested assets                       $784,539     $794,373   $674,199
       Cash                                   124,811       30,617     26,711
       Real estate acquired                    10,860       12,566      7,923
       Deferred policy acquisition costs       36,243       35,574     35,157
       Prepaid federal income tax             116,008      168,817    170,076
       Reinsurance recoverable                  5,815            2          1
       Other assets                            54,577       54,724     46,210
       Total assets                        $1,132,853   $1,096,673   $960,277

    Liabilities and stockholders' equity
       Liabilities:
             Losses and loss adjustment
              expenses                       $359,939     $200,455   $122,061
             Premium deficiency reserve             -            -          -
             Deferred income taxes            123,297      170,477    177,888
             Borrowing under credit
              facility                         80,000       80,000          -
             Long term debt                    34,519       34,517     34,514
             Accrued expenses and other
              liabilities                      36,247       39,754     31,191
       Total liabilities                      634,002      525,203    365,654
       Total stockholders' equity
        (deficiency in assets)                498,851      571,470    594,623
       Total liabilities and stockholders'
        equity                             $1,132,853   $1,096,673   $960,277



                        Condensed Balance Sheets As Of
                            (dollars in thousands)

                                            Mar 31,     Dec 31,     Sep 30,
                                             2007        2006        2006
    Assets
       Invested assets                      $669,160    $607,312    $611,176
       Cash                                   10,429      38,609       9,230
       Real estate acquired                    9,765      10,170       7,982
       Deferred policy acquisition costs      35,035      35,143      34,681
       Prepaid federal income tax            166,693     166,908     159,268
       Reinsurance recoverable                   211         840           1
       Other assets                           40,223      36,648      35,641
       Total assets                         $931,516    $895,630    $857,979

    Liabilities and stockholders' equity
       Liabilities:
             Losses and loss adjustment
              expenses                       $98,721     $84,352     $60,123
             Premium deficiency reserve            -           -           -
             Deferred income taxes           180,232     176,483     175,728
             Borrowing under credit
              facility                             -           -           -
             Long term debt                   34,512      34,510      34,508
             Accrued expenses and other
              liabilities                     30,898      30,062      26,698
       Total liabilities                     344,363     325,407     297,057
       Total stockholders' equity
        (deficiency in assets)               587,152     570,224     560,922
       Total liabilities and stockholders'
        equity                              $931,515    $895,631    $857,979

SOURCE Triad Guaranty Inc.